经济时间序列分析技术在煤炭价格预测中的应用

The application of economy time series analysis technique in coal price forecast

根据所收集的数据资料 ,结合国际和国内的实际经济形势 ,以计量经济学和统计学的原理为基础 ,将随机过程论、概率论、线性差分方程应用到我国的煤炭工业经济中 ,对煤炭市场价格进行动态跟踪预测 .通过实例分析与实际情况比较 。

On the basis of the collected data, connecting with the international and domestic economy situation,the thesis is based on the theory of econometrics and statistic,it particularly applied the random processes, probability theory and linear difference equation to the coal industry of our country,and forecasted the coal price. Comparison of calculated and actual data has proved that this method is of high practical value.