财政支农、涉农贷款对农业发展的影响——基于河北省数据的实证研究

The Effect of Financial Support and Agriculture-related Loans on the Agriculture Development

运用VAR模型对河北省财政支农、涉农贷款与农业产值增长间的关系进行研究。结果显示,河北省的财政支农、涉农贷款与农业产业发展具有长期稳定的关系,两者都对农业产值有正面贡献但并不充分,主要原因在于支农资金结构欠合理与农村金融体制的不健全。

The study focuses on the relationship between public financial support and agricultural loans to the rural economy by using the VAR model. The results show that there is a long-term and stable relationship between financial support and loans to agricultural production. Both of them have positive contribution to agriculture production, but their effectiveness keeps a low level. The main reason lies in the irrationality of capital structure and the imperfection of rural financial system.