摘要
基于第12届全运会综合总分榜,通过探索性空间数据分析(ESDA)和空间计量方法对影响我国省域竞技体育发展水平的经济社会因素展开分析。通过全局Moran’s I检验和绘制Moran散点图得知我国省域竞技体育发展水平存在着显著的空间相关性,呈现出空间集聚的态势,东部省份发展水平较高,中西部省份则相对较低。之后建立的空间滞后模型(SLM)和空间误差模型(SEM)显示,省域竞技体育发展水平确实存在着空间依赖性和空间异质性,同时得知总人口、人均GDP、东道主因素都对发展水平有显著影响,而直辖市、民族文化因素则无显著影响。
Based on score rankings of 12^th National Games, this paper analyzes socio-economic factors, which impact China~ s provincial level of competitive sports by exploratory spatial data analysis （ESDA） and spatial econometrics. Through global Moron＇s I test and Moran scatter plot, we discover that provincial level of competitive sports has a significant spatial correlation and shows a spatial agglomeration trend, which means that the level of east China＇ s provinces is high but that of central and west China＇ s provinces is comparatively low. Spatial lag model （SLM） and spatial error model （SEM） reveals that provincial level of competitive sports has spatial dependence and spatial heterogeneity. Total population, GDP per capita and host has significant impact on the level, but metropolis and autonomous region has not.
出处
《中国体育科技》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第4期3-9,32,共8页
China Sport Science and Technology
