市域城镇体系规划中城镇化水平预测方法浅析

Discussion On Prediction Method With The Town Level In The City Area System Planning

本文以北方某小城M市为例,通过综合增长率法、回归外推法分别对小城人口进行预测,并进行综合分析,科学较正,从而预测出城镇化水平,以用于该市的总体规划工作。

Taken the northern city M as an example, the particle predicts the population for the town based on the synthetic growth index method,regression extrapolation method. At the same time, it gives comprehensive analysis and scientific correction to predict the urbanization level.