海峡西岸经济区服务业与城镇化互动发展研究

Interactive Development on Service Industry and Urbanization of Economic Zone on the West Side of the Straits

城镇化是未来中国经济增长的重要驱动力之一,服务业发展水平代表着地区产业结构高度化水平。城镇化与服务业之间的互动发展是未来海峡西岸经济区实现区域可持续性和健康发展的重要基础。通过构建VAR模型研究过去十年海西城镇化与服务业发展之间的关系,研究结果表明服务业的发展可以加速海西城镇化进程,但是城镇化对服务业的发展没有体现出显著的推动作用,这与城市的聚集水平和城镇化不同阶段城市主导产业不同有密切关系。

Urbanization can promote China＇s economic growth, and the level of service industry reflects regional industry structure. The relationship between urbanization and service industry will promote the sustainable and healthy economic development in economic zone on the west side of the straits. This paper sets VAR model, points out that service industry development could promote urbanization in cross-strait economic zone, but urbanization has no significant effect on service industry development.