农村合作金融发展与农民收入增长关系实证分析

Empirical analysis on the relationship between rural cooperative financial development and farmers' income growth

以2002—2011年间的统计数据为基础,通过协整分析方法和格兰杰因果检验,分析了农村合作金融发展与农民收入增长之间的关系。结果表明,农村合作金融发展规模与农民收入增长之间为负相关关系,而且农民收入增加是农村合作金融发展的原因,但农村合作金融发展并不一定促进农民收入增加,指出当前农村合作金融要促进农民收入增加,关键是要如何形成合理的资本流向农村的机制。

In order to put forward policy suggestions for the development of rural cooperative finance, this paper analyzed the relationship between rural cooperative financial development and farmers＇ income growth using cointegration analysis and Granger causality test methods based on the data in 2001-2011. The results showed that it was negative correlation between rural cooperative financial development scale and farmers＇ income growth, and farmers＇ income growth was the reason of rural cooperative financial development scale, but the rural cooperative financial development could not made farmers＇ income increased. So we concluded that the key was the capital reflow reasonable mechanism, rural cooperative financial development could improve farmers＇ income growth.