摘要
从2000年到2012年,新兴经济体增长很快,发挥了全球经济的火车头作用。从目前情况看,未来新兴经济体的增长率可能降低。主要原因包括赶超潜力耗尽;信贷繁荣和大宗商品繁荣结束;金融体系脆弱性;国家治理问题等。未来10年,作为一个整体,新兴经济体的增长率可能降低,西方国家可能再次成为全球经济的领头羊。
From 2000 to 2012,the emerging economies grow rather fast,which played the leading role in the global economy. Currently,the growth of emerging economies may probably decline. The major reasons include the exhaustion of potential to surpass others, the end of credit and bulk commodity boom,the fragility of the financial system and the issues concerned with national governance. In the future 10 years,as a whole,the growth of emerging economies may slow down and the western countries may take the lead again in the global economy.
出处
《金融发展研究》
2014年第6期44-50,共7页
Journal Of Financial Development Research
关键词
新兴经济体
增长率
大宗商品
金融危机
中等收入陷阱
emerging economies
growth rate
bulk commodity
financial crisis
middle-income trap
