制造业与物流业种群生态系统协同演化实证研究

The Empirical Research on the Coordination Evolution about Ecosystem between Manufacturing and Logistics Industrial Population

制造业与物流业的协同演化关系源于制造业的生产服务外包,物流业的出现加速了制造业生产服务外部化,促进了制造业快速发展,在市场机制作用下,制造业企业只有与物流业企业协同运作、互利共生,才能在市场上获取更大的竞争力。本文以陕西制造业与物流业的发展现状为背景,运用种群生态学理论,建立制造业与物流业协同演化种群生态系统,从系统的角度分析制造业与物流业种群协同演化内部机制和外界环境随机涨落因子,并以陕西时序数据为例,对制造业与物流业协同演化规律进行研究,结果表明,陕西制造业与物流业两个种群存在显著的关联关系,两者为互利共生关系,且协同影响大于传染影响,两个种群协同合法化过程随着制造业种群的增加而增加,在演化时间上存在一定滞后期,总体上同步演化关系,但出现的时间有所差异,以期为区域制造业与物流业协同发展政策的制定提供理论依据。

The co- evolution relationship of manufacturing and logistics is the result of manufacturing enterprise production service outsoureing, and the advent of the logistics has accelerated the external of the manufacturing production services, promoted the development of manufacturing rapidly. With of the market- mechanism, manufacturing companies and logistics companies should work together, mutually beneficial symbiosis in order to obtain greater competitiveness in the market. This paper takes the development of manufacturing and logistics in shaanxi province as research background, using the theory of population ecology, establishing a co-evolution populations ecosystem of manufaeturing and logistics, manufacturing and logistics from the perspective of system analysis of population co- evolution internal mechanism and external environment of random fluctuation factor, taking time- series data in shaanxi province as an example, the research of manufacturing and logistics co - evolution regular pattern is carried out. Results show that the two populations in shaanxi manufactoring and logistics industry exist significant correlation, both for mutually beneficial symbiosis, and synergy effect is greater than the contagion effect, two populations as manufacturing legalization precess that increase with the increase of the population. On the evolution of time there is a certain lag, overall synchronization evolutionary relationship, but the time differences, in order to region manufacturing indnstry and to provide theoretical basis for the establishment of the coordinated development of logistics industry policy.