酒埠江水库入库流量预报的逐步回归方法

A Prediction Method of Step by Step Regression for Inlet Flow into Jiubujiang Reservoir

基于物理成因分析 ,挑选出影响酒埠江水库年、月平均入库流量的前期单站预报因子 ,并建立了逐步回归预报模型 .实践表明 ,预报效果较好 。

Based on physical contributing factor analyses, single-station predictor effecting annual and monthly mean inlet flow into Jiubujiang Reservoir in earlier stage is chosen.Prediction methods of step by step regression are set up in this paper. The prediction results show that these motheds have strong ability and good effect for prediction,so they can be applied in practical prediction.