山东省产业结构与经济增长的灰色关联分析

The Relationship of Industrial Structure and Economic Growth in Shandong Province Based on Grey Correlation Analysis

山东省是我国的经济大省,其产业结构的优劣对山东省乃至国家的经济增长都有显著影响.数据显示,目前山东省第二产业和第三产业所占GDP比重相差不大,并且产业内部也呈现不合理态势.运用灰色关联分析方法来研究山东省2002—2012年产业结构与经济增长的关系,结论表明,山东省第三产业与GDP增长的关联度最高,但第二产业与第三产业对GDP的贡献度相差不大,在此基础上提出了促进山东省经济增长的建议.

Shandong Province is an economy-developed province,and the industrial structure merits have a significant effect on Shandong Province and the economic growth of nation. Data show that the shares of GDP in the secondary industry and tertiary industry in Shandong Province were similar,and the intra-industry is proved to be improper too. We used grey relation analysis method to study the relationship of industrial structure and economic growth in Shandong Province based on the 2002-2012 data. The conclusion shows that the tertiary industry in Shandong Province has the highest degree of association with the growth of GDP,but the contribution degrees of second industry and tertiary industry to the growth of economy are merely the same. Then we proposed some suggestions to promote the economic growth in Shandong Province on the basis of the analysis.