环境规制、环境规制竞争与地区工业经济增长——基于空间Durbin面板模型的实证研究

Environmental Regulation, Environmental Regulation Competition and Regional Industrial Economic Growth: An Empirical Study Based on Spatial Panel Durbin Model

本文选取2004-2009年地级市以上城市工业的面板数据,运用空间Durbin面板模型探索环境规制、环境规制竞争与地区工业经济增长的关联性关系。实证结果发现:(1)无论是全国样本,还是各地区样本,提高环境规制强度会减缓地区经济增速已经成为工业化推进中不可逾越的发展路径。(2)环境规制竞争对本地经济增长效应表现为明显的区域特征。东部和东北地区环境规制竞争具有正向增长效应,中部地区则具有负向增长效应,而西部地区增长效应不显著。这既为探索共生型环境经济政策,又为制定差别化环境政策提供决策参考。

By applying spatial panel Durbin model, the paper uses industrial panel data of cities at prefecture-level and above during the period 2004-2009 to identify the spatial linkage between environmental regulation, environmental regula- tion competition strategies and industrial economic growth, coming up with the following conclusions： （1） it is a non-negotiable development path during the course of industrialization that the increase in environmental regulation will ham- per industrial economic growth, whether for the whole sample, or regional sam- ples; （2） there are marked regional characteristics for the effect of environmental regulation competition on industrial economic growth. Specifically, significant posi- tive effect is found in eastern and northeastern regions, negative effect is found in the middle region, and no significant effect is found in western regions. The conclusions will provide references for decisions concerning both the linkage of environment and economy and differentiated environmental policies.