周期性残差修正GM(1.1)在海事直接经济损失预测中的应用

Applying the Modifying of Periodicity Remnant Difference of GM(1.1) to the Forecast of the Direct Expense of Maritime Accident

通过将建立的海事直接经济损失预测模型在某港口的运用检验 ,表明该模型精度较高 ,对海事直接经济损失的预测应用良好。

Through building the GM(1.1) of the expense of maritime accident, and modifying the periodicity remnant difference of it, we can get a better measure in the forecast of the direct expense of maritime accidents.