临近滨海地下水位变化的预测与对策研究——以胶莱河下游区为例

A RESEARCH ON PREDICTION OF UNDERGROUND WATER LEVEL CHANGES IN ADJACENT COASTAL REGION AND COUNTERMEASURES

依据实测数据,用灰色系统模型预测了研究区地下水位的变化,取得了精度较高的预测值,研究表明,该区地下水位在今后一定时期内仍有下降趋势,并将会引起水环境与生态环境等一定程度的恶化。为此,提出了防治对策。

Based on the data on the changes of underground water level in the inves- tigated area predicted by using the grey system model, the predicted values with higher precision are obtained. The analysis of these data shows that the tendency of level lowering of the underground water in this investigated area would still last up to a certain period in future, thus deteriorating water environment and ecological environment to a certain degree. In this connection a set of counter- measures for prevention and control of these phenomena are proposed in this paper.