摘要
介绍灰色控制系统的基本理论，并给出了全国水运货运量预测的ＧＭ（１，１）模型，可供水运部门制定规划时参考。
This paper introduces the basic theory of grey control system and offers the grey model of farcasting the whole volume of water transportation.This model has some reference value for shipping department to make a plan.
关键词
货运量
模型
预测
水路运输
灰色系统
water transportation,volume of goods transported,grey model,forcasting
