渤海湾客运船型发展预测

A Development Forecast on Passenger Ship Type In Bohai Gulf

简介了渤海湾客运现状,采用回归分析方法预测到2000年连烟线客货运量,确定包括客货船、客滚船、高速船三类船型的可行方案集,建立了船队构成的数学模型并求解得到2000年连烟线为完成客货运量优化的船队构成。

This paper introduces the Bohai Gulf area's present situation of passenger transport and forcasts the demand of passengers and cargos in Dalian - Yantai route in 2000 by using regression analysis method. The paper establishes the practical schemes of three ship types, passenger cargo ship, passenger - cargo ro - ro vessel and high-speed craft, and builds the mathematical model of ship forms optimization for Dalian - Yantai route in 2000.