卫星成本风险分析与评估

Risk Analyzing and Evaluating of Satellite Engineering Cost

从卫星成本不确定性分析入手 ,在已有的风险分析方法的基础上 ,针对卫星成本风险管理的特点 ,提出了实用的改进方法 。

Satellite engineering is a large scale and complicated system engineering with longtime span, and varied indeterminate factors bring on very high risk of cost. It′s quite a problem to be solved urgently in the management of satellite developing that how the risk of satellite engineering cost can be evaluated effectively. It starts with analyzing the uncertainty of satellite cost and existed risk analysis methods, then on the base of it put forward a practical and improved method adapted to the risk management of satellite cost. Finally this article presents the principle and method of reducing and controlling the risk of cost.