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风险决策中的主观似然两分法 被引量:1

A subjective likelihood dichotomous approach for risk decision making
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摘要 提出一种新的思维模式 :主 (客 )观信息 -结果或信息 -半量化 -结果 .将这种思想用于风险决策 ,提出主观似然两分法 .此方法充分利用了主观信息 ,且操作简便 。 A new mode of thinking is proposed: Subjective(or objective) information-Consequence or Information-Half quantification-Consequence.We use this idea in risk analysis and bring forward a subjective likelihood dichotomousapproach. Subjective information is used in this approach and this approach is easy. The consequence is satisfactory.
出处 《华北水利水电学院学报》 2001年第1期73-76,80,共5页 North China Institute of Water Conservancy and Hydroelectric Power
基金 河南省杰出青年科学基金项目资助! (992 3)
关键词 主观似然两分法 决策树 风险投资 subjective likelihood dichotomous method subjective information two-way choice problem decision tree
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参考文献3

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  • 1赵德孜,温卫东,段成美.基于模糊数的航空发动机可靠性预计模型[J].航空动力学报,2004,19(3):320-325. 被引量:23
  • 2胡涛,钱筱丹,黎放,王树宗.未确知性信息的证据理论合成及其应用[J].海军工程大学学报,2005,17(4):53-55. 被引量:4
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