摘要
油气勘查项目,即石油地质项目,具有未知性强、技术复杂、工作周期长、投资多和综合性强五大特点。这五大特点决定了油气勘查项目面临着自然风险、技术风险、市场风险和非自然不可抗拒风险等五大风险。减少这些风险,不仅要进行风险的定性分析。风险的定性分析是正确分解合理承担油气勘查项目风险的前提;
Oil-Gas Exploratory Programs,namely petroleum geology prog- rams,are characterized as:highly unknown,complex in techno- logy,long in running period,great in investment and more in tegrative.These are known as the determinants of the five risks in Oil-Gas Exploratory Programs.the natural risk,the technical risk,the risk in market,the risk in management and the non- natural-fightless risk.To decrease these indefinit risks,one must apply not only the qualitative approaches,but also the quantitative approaches to risk analysis.The qualitative approach is an essential prerequisite of correctly decomposing and sharing the risk of Oil-Gas Exploratory programs rationally,while the Sensitivity Analysis is a kind of approach by which one can study the risks quantitatively.
