摘要
预测行业的未来发展趋势具有很重要的现实意义 ,但由于市场是一个高阶多变量非线性的复杂系统 ,很难用传统的数学和统计工具进行分析 ,而系统动力学由于其本身的特点 ,恰好适合解决此类问题 .由此 ,以彩电行业为例 ,阐述了用系统动力学建立市场模型的过程和方法 。
It is of great practical significance to forecast future trade development. However, traditional mathematical or statistical tools are seldom successfully utilized to analyze it in that the market is a non linear sophisticated system with complex factors and multi variables. Fortunately, system dynamics is suited to solve such problems because of its characteristics. After elucidating the procedure and method of establishing the market model, this article analyzes the influence of related policies to the trade development with the example of electronic home equipment market.
出处
《复旦学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2001年第2期147-152,共6页
Journal of Fudan University：Natural Science
