多层递阶预报模型的应用

Application of Multi-Layer Hierarchical Predicting Model

本文介绍了多层递阶预报方法的原理、模型及预报步骤,该方法能较好地处理时变参数和时变结构,具有一定的综合预报能力。

This article introduces the principles, models and predicting procedures of multilayer hierarchical forecasting method. The method is suitable for treating time-varying structure and parameters. The results of its application in HPEMIS are satisfactory.