用EOF展开和人工神经网络方法预测ENSO的研究

THE STUDY OF FORECASTING ENSO BY USING EOF APPSOACH AND NEURAL NETWORK METHOD

本文利用ＥＯＦ展开技术和人工神经网络方法进行了预测ＥＮＳＯ的研究，研究结果表明，二种方法的结合对预测ＥＮＳＯ有较好的效果，但预报效果依赖于预报时效，依赖于预报因子的合理选取。

In this paper, the EOF approach and neural network method is used for study of forecasting ENSO. The result shows, the combination of these two methods has better effect on forecasting ENSO, but the forecasting effect depend on forecasting effectiveness for a given period of time, and depend on the reasonable choice in predictor.