“现实主义”——试析布什政府对外政策走向

“Realism”－A Preliminary Analysis on the Trends of the Bush Administration's Foreign Policy

美国新政府尚未推出完整的对外政策，但从布什总统及其幕僚的观点和举措来看，共和党在处理国际事务方面的“现实主义”传统，将主导布什政府的对外政策走向。在“现实主义”理念支配下，美国新政府将采取措施，进一步增强军事力量，加强与盟友的关系，加大对伊拉克、朝鲜等国的打压力度，调整对俄罗斯的政策并将其重点转向安全领域，压俄在国家导弹防御体系等方面与美进行合作。同时，随着中国经济的发展和综合国力的上升，布什政府的对华政策将呈现出更注重现实利益的态势。

Although the new U.S. administration has yet come out a complete foreign policy, viewpoints and measures expressed and taken by President Bush and his aides have illustrated that the tradition of “realism' adopted by Republicans in dealing with international affairs may dominate its foreign policy. Guided by the “realist' thinking, the new administration would take steps to further strengthen its military, consolidate its ties with allies and step up its pressure upon states like Iraq and North Korea. U.S. policy towards Russia would be readjusted to accentuate security issue and coerce Russia into cooperating with U.S. on issues like the National Missile Defense(NMD).In the meantime in the light of growth of China's economy and rise of national might, the Bush administration's China policy is likely to be more oriented towards its real interests