大气臭氧层变化、太阳活动与中国流脑及人间鼠疫流行特征的关系研究(英文)

Relation of O_3 Layer Change and Solar Activity to the ECM/HP in China

通过对 1 950～ 1 989年有关的资料系列进行分析后 ,首次研究和报道了中国大气臭氧层变化、太阳活动与流行性脑脊髓膜炎 (ECM )及人间鼠疫 (HP)两类传染病发病率流行周期特征之间的关系 .研究结果表明 :①由较长时段看 ,臭氧层变化 /太阳活动与ECM及HP年发病率间存在着较为密切的相关 ;②从较短时段看 ,发病率的季节变化与某些气象因子的变化有一定的关系 .最后 ,提出了一个解释这两类疾病周期流行机制的简单模型 .

Based on series of analyses for the relevant data during the period of 1950-1989,the relationship between the ozone layer variation/solar activity and the periodically prevalent feature of tow kinds of human infectious diseases in China,the epidemic cerebrospinal meningitis (ECM) and human plague (HP) episodes,is presented and analyzed for the first time in this paper.Our report shows that:① in the long-term,there is a close correlation between Ozone layer change / solar activity and the variations of the ECM/HP;② in the short-term,the seasonal variation of incidence might be associated with the variation of some meteorological factors.A simple model explaining the prevalent mechanism of these human infectious diseases is advanced finally.