摘要
利用基于预测误差平方和 ( PRESS)准则的逐步回归分析和基于残差平方和( RSS)准则的逐步回归分析建立了舟山市 3个县区站汛期 ( 5～ 9月 )降水量的预报模型 ,并对两种方法的预测结果进行预报集成 ,经试报和预报检验表明 。
With stepwise regression analysis on the basis of the criterion from Prediction Error Sum of Squares (PRESS) and on the basis of the criterion from Residual Sum of Squares (RSS),the forecasting model of precipitation over Zhoushan in Rainy season (May to September) were studied.Moreover,the scheme of forecast ensemble by forecast results of two predictive method is proposed.Results show that effects of the prediction of this scheme are superior.
出处
《气象》
CSCD
北大核心
2001年第9期39-43,共5页
Meteorological Monthly
基金
浙江省自然科学基金资助项目 (4 980 2 2 )资助
