东营市7月份暴雨集成预报系统

Dongying′s Integrated Prediction System of Heavy Rain in July

利用 1 989～ 1 998年 0 8时高空和地面实时资料 ,用指标法对样本进行消空 ,再用判别法制作东营市的暴雨预报 。

With the real time data of high level and surface at 8 o′clock from 1989 to 1998,first,part of the samples are deleted through guideline method,then Dongying′s heavy rain prediction is made through distinguishing method.The accuracy of integrated prediction is higher than single forecast.