中国计划制度下的经济不稳定问题

The Problem of Economic Instability under China's Planning System

社会主义计划经济的实践表明,实行集中统一的计划管理不一定能保证持续稳定的经济增长。导致经济不稳定的最直接的因素,是过度的投资扩张所产生的过大的在建规模。计划之所以难以形成对投资扩张的约束,基本原因之一是投资者往往低估建设项目的预期成本,以提高建设项目获得批准的可能性。此外,地方与中央的利益摩擦,以及在计划过程中不重视五年计划的作用,也对中国计划经济的运行产生着影响。

From the practical experience of socialist planned economy, it is borne out that centrally planned management does not, as a rule, lead to economic growth. The factor that leads to instability of economy is the over-expanding investments which resulted in excess scales of buildings. One of the reasons for which the planning could not always exert its control over the expanding investment is that investors are always liable to underestimate the costs of projects built, with the view to win the possibility of approval of projects expected. Moreover,the frictions between Central Government's interest and locals' and the negligence of 5-year Planning in the course of implementation are also eroding the functions of planned economy.