我国上市公司现金流量的市场反应和信息含量分析被引量：16

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摘要本文选择1997年前在上海证券交易所挂牌上市中的327家公司为样本,收集其1998年度的相关财务信息,采用统计实证研究方法,分析会计利润和现金流量在其信息公布前后的市场反应,并且探讨现金流量是否能够在会计利润的基础上提供增量信息。研究结果表明:(1)在年度财务报表公布之前,市场对每股盈利(EPS)反应比较显著;在年度财务报表公布之后,市场对每股经营性现金流量(CFO)反应比较显著。(2)在年度财务报表公布之后,市场对每股经营性现金流量与每股盈利的差异(CFO-EPS)反应比较显著,但对每股经营性现金流量与每股盈利之比(CFO/EPS)反应不显著。(3)使用多元线性回归分析后,在年度财务报表公布之前,市场对每股盈利(EPS)反应比较显著;在年度财务报表公布之后,市场对每股经营性现金流量与每股盈利之差(CFO-EPS)反应比较显著。根据上述实证结果,我们认为:(1)目前我国证券市场对会计信息的反应存在“每股盈利超前反应”和“每股经营性现金流量滞后反应”。(2)虽然目前没有充分的证据可以证实在年度财务报表公告之前现金流量具有会计盈利之外的增量信息,但在公布之后,经营性现金流量一定程度上含有与价格相关的信息。

作者吴世农李常青陈碧华

机构地区厦门大学管理学院

出处《首都经济贸易大学学报》 2001年第5期5-12,共8页 Journal of Capital University of Economics and Business

基金国家自然科学基金(No.79970075)

关键词现金流量市场反应信息含量上市公司中国

分类号 F275.1 [经济管理—企业管理] F276.6 [经济管理—企业管理]

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