用灰色理论GM(1,1)模型预测主动力装置在不同破坏半径下的生命力

Applying the GM(1,1) model of grey theory to forecast the survivability of main power plant being damaged under different radii

用传统的方法预测主动力装置在不同破坏半径下的生命力 ,存在所需数据量大、不易预测、准确性不高等缺点 .运用灰色理论GM(1,1)模型预测了舰船主动力装置受到武器攻击时在各种破坏半径下的生命力 ,方法简单易行 ,结果准确可靠 。

It is difficult to analyze the survivability of main power plant of warship under different radii by applying the traditional method. This paper applies the GM(1,1) model of grey theory to forecast the survivability of main power plant being damaged under different radii. This method is easy and feasible. It is accurate too. Analyzing the data, we provide an important evidence for the decision maker to make decisions.