物流预测技术中的移动平均线方法

The Method of Moving Average Line in Logistics Predicting Technique

在讨论移动平均值的基础上 ,提出了物流预测技术中的移动平均线方法 .介绍了移动平均线的构造方法 ,论述了不同时间跨度的移动平均线的特点 ,讨论了选取时间跨度所要考虑的一些主要因素 ,并介绍了确定不同“时期”的方法 .文中结合实例对物流预测技术中的移动平均线方法进行介绍 .结果表明 ,此方法既能预测销售物流短期、中期和长期变化趋势 。

Based on discussing the moving average value,this paper suggests the method of moving average line in the logistics predicting technology.The method of making moving average line has been presented.The characterissics of moving average lines having different time spans have been told.Several main factors considered in determining time span have been discussed and the methods in determining the different 'time point' have been presented.Combining with two cases,the method of moving avarage line in the logistics predicting technology has been presented.The results show that this method can not only predict the trends of sale logistics for short period of time,middle and long period of time,but also can indicate the quantity of logistics for short period of time.