海南岛一次暴雨天气分析与预报概念模型

Analysis of a Rainstorm Weather Process in Dec. in Hainan Island and the Forecast Conceptual Model

对海南岛２０００年１２月１１日出现的一次暴雨天气的成因进行了分析，并结合１９６０—２０００年海南１２月份暴雨的普查分析结果，提出了海南１２月暴雨降水率的计算公式及概念预报模型。

This paper made an analysis of the causes for a rainstorm weather happened on Decem- ber 11, 2000 in Hainan island and put forward the calculation formula and forecast conceptual mod- el for rainstorm precipitation rate of Hainan in December, combining the general investigation re- sults of rainstorm of Hainan in December during 1960 ~ 2000.