摘要
为了对四川成品油价格影响因素进行系统研究 ,稳定四川成品油价格 ,建立良好的市场秩序提供决策依据 ,本文运用系统工程的原理与方法 ,分析了影响四川成品油价格的因素及其因素链 ,建立了系统解释结构模型ISM(Inter pretiveStructuralMode)。通过对该模型的分析 ,找到了影响四川成品油价的直接原因为国内油价和四川成品油市场状况 ;表层原因为四川成品油市场需求、供给、竟争三大因素 ;中层原因为四川产业结构、能源消费增长状况等 ;深层原因为石油储备制度、进出口、燃油税和走私 ;根源为国际油价、四川自然交通条件、替代能源、市场管理等因素。并针对不同层次的影响因素 。
The price of Sichuan refined oil is influenced by various factors, macroscopically, it is influenced by the international and domestic oil price; regionally, by the natural conditions and the refined oil market in Sichuan. What's more, these influencing factors' interplay is complex. In order to have a systematic study on the influencing factors of the price of Sichuan refined oil to provide policy decision basis to stabilize the price of Sichuan refined oil and set up good market order, the article uses the principles and methods of systematic engineering to analyze the factors and the chain that influence the price of Sichuan refined oil and set up ISM (Interpretive Structural Mode). By the analysis of the model, the direct cause influencing the price of Sichuan refined oil has been found out, that is, domestic oil price and Sichuan oil market situation; the superficial cause has three factors: the demands, supplies and competition in Sichuan refined oil market; the secondary cause is Sichuan industrial structure and the increasing of energy consumption; the complicated cause is oil reserve system, imports exports, fuel tax and smuggling; the fundamental causes are international oil price, the natural transportation condition in Sichuan, the substitute energy, market management, and so on. Aimed at the influencing factors of different causes, the corresponding policy-marking proposals is provided.
出处
《西南石油学院学报》
CSCD
2001年第5期70-72,共3页
Journal of Southwest Petroleum Institute
基金
四川省"九五"社科规划项目<四川油气市场发展趋势研究>课题
