B—J法在储蓄预测中的应用研究

An Applied Research of B—J Method in Savings Forecast

本文运用 B— J法对我国居民储蓄存款余额作出预测 ,通过 ARIMA和 ARIMAX模型的比较 。

This paper applys B—J method to the forecast of inhabitant savings in our country. Through comparison between ARIMA and ARIMAX model,it point out that introduced regressor is advantageous to the improvement of effect in forecast.