生态农业项目投资风险度量方法初探

Measurement methods of investment hazard of eco-agriculture project.

阐述了盈亏平衡分析法、敏感性分析法、概率分析法等几种传统的风险度量方法,提出了生态农业项目投资的评价指标及其投资风险影响因素敏感度的计算方法,探讨了生态农业项目风险测算的模糊评价方法,旨在为判断生态农业项目系统风险度大小提供量化依据。

Some traditional hazard measurement mothods including the analytical method of profit and loss, the analytical method of sensibility, the analytical method of probability were summarized. The evaluation indexes of eco-agriculture project investment and its calculating method of sensibility grade were put forward. Fuzzy evalua-tion methods of eco-agriculture project hazard measurement were investigated to provide quantitative foundation for judgement of eco-agriculture project system hazard.