摘要
灰色—马尔柯夫预测方法能够较好地解决既有趋势性又有较大波动性的数据序列的预测问题 ,且具有计算简便、精度高的特点。本文利用该方法对山西省农机总动力需求进行了预测分析 ,为农业机械化有计划的发展提供了依据。
This paper presents a grey-markov forecasting model which has the merits of both simplicity of application and high forecasting precision. This paper forecasts and analyzes the total power requirement of agricultural machinery in Shanxi province by gray-markov mathematical model .It provides scientific basis for the planned development of agricultural machinery in Shanxi province.
关键词
马尔柯夫链
农机总动力
灰色预测模型
农机预测
Grey-Markov forecasting model
The total power of agricultural machinery
Forecasting