2001年生产资料市场分析及展望

An Analysis and Forecast on Capital Goods Market

2001年国际经济形势逆转,给我国经济和生产资料市场带来很大的压力。尽管国家实行积极的财政政策,保持了国内市场大体平稳格局,然而仍因资源增长过快等因素,市场价格承受沉重的压力,全年生产资料市场价格指数出现负增长已成定局。如果2002年全球经济发展不出现大的意外,也就是说,以美国为首的西方发达国家不出现整体性严重经济衰退,中国经济稳定增长的条件还是有保证的。新一年里,将会出现利用外资增多、投资强劲、消费稳定共同拉动经济增长和促进生产资料市场发展的局面。全年经济增长率仍会保持在7％左右的水平,全社会生产资料销售总额增长速度在8％以上。

The reverse of international economy in 2001 brought a pressure on China's economy and capital goods market. Chinese government has carried out active fiscal policy and maintained general internal balance. However, due to the fast increase of resource production and other factors, market price were under great pressure, and the price index of national capital goods market will defenitly be negative. If there will be no extremely serious accident, that is to say, there will be no great general recession in western countries headed by USA, the Chinese economy will surely keep steady growth. In next year, pulled by increasing foreign investments, and domestic investments and consumption, national economy and capital goods market will steadily grow. The yearly economic increase rate will be about 7%, and the national total sales of capital goods will grow at over 8%.