中国粮食安全储备及其规模确定

Analyses of the Repertory Scale for Food Security in China

本文阐述了中国粮食安全储备的概念及其演变 ,并依据比格曼成本效率模型的基本 思想 ,运用 80年代以来中国粮食可供量资料 ,对中国粮食安全储备的规模进行了测算。 作者分析认为 ,按照社会可承受 2 %的粮食可供量波动 (价格波动约 8% )和控制粮食储备 成本的标准计算 ,中国粮食安全储备的适度规模为 48872千吨。

Based on the thought of The Bigema's Model of Cost Efficiency, this paper measures the repertory scale for food security in China with datum since 1980. It argues that the moderate repertory scale for food security in China is 48872 kiloton within 2% of waves of food supply.