积极财政政策的国债规模限度风险研究

Research on the Risk of the Range Limitation of National Debt Under Positive Finance Policy

本文运用美国著名财政学家哈维Ｓ·罗森（Ｈａｒｖａｙ·Ｓ·Ｒｏｓｅｎ）的债务理财理论，对我国积极财政政策的国倩规模限度进行了风险评价。认为，对比美国有七、八十年长期发债的经久不衰历史，我国国债发行规模尚有相当的时间和空间潜力。文章指出问题的要害在于我国国债的运用效率低下，则是其风险所在。对策是改进我国国债的品种和时限等结构，完善国债市场。

The paper evaluates the risk of the range Limitation of national debt by means of Harvay·S·Rosen's theory Compared with American condition, China's issue of national debt has great potential beth in time and in space. But the problems lie in the low efficiency of our national debt which leads to risk What we can do now is to improve the structures of our national debt in types and limitations, and to perfect the market of the national debt.