水库流域实时洪水预报误差原因分析

Analysis of real time flood forecast error cause in reservoir basin

本文结合实际水库流城洪水预报,对预报中产生的误差的来源和成因进行分析,提出合理建议和改进方法,以提高水库洪水预报的精度,更好地为水库洪水预报和水库调度服务。

The paper analyses the error source and cause in flood forecasting of the reservoir basin, and puts forward the reasonable suggestion and the amelioration method to raise the flood forecasting accuracy of the reservoir basin and to serve the flood forecasting and operation of the reservoir.