预测水驱油田含水率的Gompertz模型

The Predicting Model Gompertz of Water-cut Rate in Water-flood Oil Field

本文基于经济增长和油气资源增长预测的Gompertz模型 ,建立了水驱油田开发预测含水率随开发时间变化的模型。通过矿场实例应用表明 :该模型能够对油田含水率进行全过程预测 ,且计算简单 ,预测精度较高。

In the light of predicting model gompertz of predicting the ecnomic increase and oil-gas resources increase ,the model of predicting water- cut rate along with development time variations is established for water-flood oil field. Through the site practice,the model can predict whole water-cut rate. It is not only simple in calculation but also fairly accurate in prediction.