森林群落同期发生演替的预测模型及其应用

Predicting Model of Concurring Succession in Forestry Community and Its Application

主要介绍森林群落发生同期演替时各种状态转移情况下进行植被种类的趋势预测 .主要针对演替过程中出现分段或非线性演替时如何预测出植被中的顶极树种种类 .

This paper focuses on how to predict the tendency of the succession of vegetation during the transformation of different states in forest community when succession concurs how to predict top tree species in the vegetation when either segmentation succession or nonlinear succession takes place.By taking in the priori and conditional distribution of the tree species in different states during the succession,information about posterior distribution can be obtained and the result of succession in forest community predicted.