基于D-S证据推理的项目投资综合决策模型与应用

D-S Based Investment Decision Model and Its Application

针对投资决策系统的不确信因素 ,阐述提取指标体系不确信度的五种方法 ;并基于 D- S证据推理建立投资项目决策模型 。

In the light of the uncertain factors in the investment decision system, this paper describes how to extract the Degree of Ignorance (DOI) in comprehensive index with five methods. We establish a new model for investment decision based on D-S evidential reasoning. Comparing with other methods, an example demonstrates that the decision model is effective and practical in uncertain information system.