我国外贸增长空间的实证分析

The Analysis of China Foreign Trade Growth

中国经济自改革开放以来的高速增长与对外贸易的快速增长密不可分。在与世界主要发达市场经济国家比较的基础上,本文从贸易依存度的角度进行实证分析,指出中国外贸的增长已经达到顶点,靠持续的外贸增长推动经济增长的空间已经很小。从长期看,必须依靠扩大内需来推动经济持续健康快速增长。

The high speed of China economy attributes much to foreign trade growth.O n the basis of comparison with developed country,this paper a nalyses from an angle of foreign trad e dependence to show that foreign tra de growth of China has come to summit and has no more space for further develop ment.China must depend on ex-panding domestic demand to promote e conomy for the long term.