中国城镇居民家庭消费结构实证分析

Positive Analysis of Chinese Urban Households' Consumption Patterns

用卢茨的ELES模型 ,对 1998年中国城镇居民家庭消费结构进行实证分析 ,结果显示 :中国城镇居民家庭的边际消费倾向为 0 .6 16 6 ,其中食品的边际消费倾向高达 0 .15 92 ;收入弹性方面 ,家庭设备用品及服务、杂项商品、交通通讯均大于 1,其他小于 1;各项商品及服务的自价格弹性比较大 ,而互价格弹性比较小。

By using ELES model by LUCH, from the positive analysis of Chinese urban households' consumption patterns in 1998,such conclusions can be drawn: The index of marginal propensity to consume in urban households is 0.6166, among which that of marginal propensity to food consume is as high as 0.1592; as for income elasticity index, that of household facilities, articles and services, miscellanceous commodities, transportation and communications is above 1,and that of the other is below 1,self price elasticity of each commodity and service is rather high, but mutual price elasticity is lower.