摘要
介绍国际能源机构(IEA)对全世界发电能力、电力投资、核电、水电和可再生能源发电的预测,叙述电力预测中若干不确定因素。并将IEA的预测数据与中国工程院的预测作对比分析,认为世界看好中国电力工业,中国更应把电力工业放在全世界电力发展的环境中进行研究,尤其应着重研究核电、水电和可再生能源发电的发展战略。
This paper introduces the forecasting of worldwide generation capacities, investments, nuclear power, hydro-power and renewable energy generation from the International Energy Agency(IEA). It indicates that there are someuncertain factors in forecasting researches. It also compares the forecasting data of China power industry from IEA withthose from China Engineering Institute, and suggests that China power industry should put emphasis on researches ofdevelopment strategies for nuclear power, hydropower and renewable energy generation.
