农户资源禀赋差异性对林地流转行为影响实证研究——基于江西集体林区10县503农户的调查

An Empirical Research on the Impact of the Difference in Householder Resource Endowments on Forestland Circulation Behavior——Survey of 503 Householders from 10 Counties in Collective Forest Regions in Jiangxi Province

文章基于江西省集体林区10县503农户的调查数据,应用Logistic模型回归分析农户资源禀赋差异性对农户林地流转行为的影响,为规范集体林区林地流转市场提供理论依据。回归结果显示:(1)农户林地资源禀赋对其林地流转行为有显著影响。林地规模越大,人口聚集度越高,离镇距离越近,农户的林地转入行为发生比例就越高;人口聚集度和村经济水平对农户的林地转出行为具有显著的正向效应。(2)农户家庭资源禀赋特征对农户林地流转行为有显著影响。担任村干部的户主趋向于转入林地;户主年龄越大,转入林地的概率越低;非农林收入型的家庭趋向于转出林地;家庭劳动力越多,农户转入林地的概率越高。(3)林权证带给农户的“安全感”越低,转出林地的概率越低;对林改政策满意的农户趋向于流入林地。

On the basis of 503 data from 10 counties in Jiangxi Province, the paper analyzed the effect of householder resource endowments on forestland circulation behavior of farmers with logistic regression model, which provided theoretical evidence for building forestland leasing market in collective forest regions. The result showed that:(1)Forestland resource endowments significantly affect the forestland circulation behavior of farmers. Forestland’s area, population concentration and the distance all have significant incentive effect on inflow behavior. In addition,Population concentration and village economic level have a significantly positive phase effect on outflow behavior.(2)Family resource endowments of farmers also have significant effect on forestland circulation behavior. The householders who take charge of village cadre tend to rent into the forestland. The householder’s age restrains inflow behavior, the older the householder is, and the lower the probability of occurrence of forestland circulation is.The household whose main income is not from farmer and forestry tends to rent out of the forestland. The more the number of family labor is, the higher the probability of occurrence of inflow behavior is. Farmer’s lack of sense of security restrains outflow behavior. Farmers who are satisfied with policy reform tend to rent into the forestland.(3)Main policy implication: it is beneficial to building forestland leasing market and improving scale management of forestry that if we implement and protect collective forest tenure, improve forestry operating condition in collective forest region.