中国婴幼儿配方乳粉进口贸易影响因素研究

Research on influencing factors of chinese infant formula milk powder's import trade

以中国婴幼儿配方乳粉进口贸易为研究对象,在分析婴幼儿配方乳粉进口贸易发展现状的基础上,运用OLS模型对2007-2016年相关数据进行回归,实证分析了中国婴幼儿配方乳粉进口贸易的影响因素。研究表明:我国婴幼儿配方乳粉的进口量与国内市场规模、进口产品抽检合格率、国内产量正相关,与汇率、进口价格以及国产产品抽检合格率分别呈负相关;反映价格因素的汇率和平均进口价格对进口量的影响最为显著;与进口产品抽检合格率的正向拉动作用相比,国产产品检合格率对婴幼儿配方乳粉进口贸易的负向推动作用更强。

This paper takes Chinese import trade of infant formula milk powder as the research subject.It studies the development of infant formula milk powder importtrade in China,and OLS model is applied to make the aggression using the data from 2007-2016 to analyze the influencing factors of Chinese import trade of infant formula milk powder.It is found that the import volume of infant formula milk powder has positive relations with domestic market scales,qualified rates of imported products and domestic outputs,and has negative relations with exchange rates,import price and qualified rates of domestic products;exchange rates and import price which represent the price factors are the most significant factors of import volume;compared with the qualified rates of imported products,qualified rates of domestic products have more powerful influence on the increase of import volumes.