中国对欧盟直接投资对进出口贸易的影响研究——基于2008-2016年面板数据的实证检验

A study of the impact of China ’s direct investment in the EU on import and export trade——An Empirical Test Based on Panel Data from 2008 to 2016

对外直接投资会影响对外进出口贸易。本文梳理了以往文献,分析了中国对欧盟直接投资对进出口贸易的影响。选择欧盟作为投资接受方和贸易对象,使用2008—2016年的面板数据实证分析了中国对其不断扩大的直接投资对进出口贸易的影响。结果表明:第一,中国对欧盟各国直接投资对进出口贸易具有明显的出口创造效应和进口创造效应,但是创造效应较小;第二,中国对欧盟各国直接投资对进出口贸易的影响形式不同。

in recent years, the marginal benefit of foreign trade in China has been gradually reduced due to excessive foreign trade dependence and trade friction, while China’s foreign direct investment has been growing fast and has great potential for growth. In this paper, the European Union, as an investment recipient and trade object, we use the panel data in 2008 to2016 to analyze the impact of China ’s direct investment in the EU on import and export trade.The results show that: first, China’s direct investment in EU countries has a creative effect on import and export trade, but this creative effect is smaller. Second, China’s direct investment in EU countries has different forms of impact on import and export trade.