中巴自贸区贸易便利化水平研究

Level of Trade Facilitation of China-Pakistan FTA

文章在构建中巴自贸区贸易便利化评价指标体系基础上,运用主成分分析法测算了2008—2016年包括中国和巴基斯坦在内的亚洲25国的贸易便利化水平。研究分析表明:首先,各国经济发展水平存在明显差异,贸易便利化水平也表现的参差不齐,总体平均水平表现为一般便利;西亚贸易便利化水平最高,中亚最低。其次,2016年影响中国贸易便利化水平的主要因素为"犯罪造成的商业成本"和"政府清廉指数"方面,而影响巴基斯坦贸易便利化的因素主要有"犯罪造成的商业成本"和"政府官员的徇私舞弊"方面;另外"巴基斯坦政治军事局势""自贸协定降税结构"及"巴基斯坦出口结构单一,贸易转移效应较弱"等因素皆是可能影响巴基斯坦贸易便利化水平的因素。最后针对中国和巴基斯坦提出了相关对策建议以提高自贸区贸易便利化水平。

On the basis of the evaluation system of trade facilitation of China-Pakistan FTA, this paper calculated the trade facilitation level of 25 Asian countries including China and Pakistan in 2008-2016 years. The results showed that, first of all, there are differences in the level of economic development between the 25 countries, so the trade facilitation level. The western Asia had the highest trade facilitation level, Central Asia at its lowest. Secondly, the affects of influencing Trade Facilitation Index of China mainly included e-commerce utilization, availability of latest technologies, judicial independence, the government corruption perceptions index and the import and export time;however, the trade facilitation level indicators of Pakistan mainly included quality of air transport infrastructure, ecommerce utilization rate, transparency of government policy-making and the government corruption perceptions index. At last, relevant proposals were put forward in order to improve China-Pakistan FTA trade facilitation level.