目的国经济政策不确定性如何影响中国企业的出口产品质量?

How does Economic Policy Uncertainty of the Destination Country affect the Quality of Products Exported by Chinese Companies?

文章运用2000-2013年美国等11个目的国经济政策不确定性指数和企业-产品层面的海关统计数据,从宏观-微观视角实证分析了目的国经济政策不确定性对中国企业出口产品质量的影响,结果显示,目的国经济政策不确定性的上升会导致中国企业出口产品质量的提升。这一结论不论是在是否引入外资企业、国有企业等控制变量或在变换不同产品质量测度指标的情况下,均呈现出较好的稳健性。通过考察目的国经济政策不确定性对异质性企业出口产品质量的影响发现,目的国经济政策不确定性的上升会显著提高加工贸易企业、贸易型企业、生产中间品及消费品企业出口产品质量,而对生产差异化产品企业出口产品质量的影响并不显著。此外,目的国经济政策不确定性的上升会对企业出口单一产品数量产生显著的抑制效应,即经济政策不确定性会明显降低企业出口单一产品的数量。

This paper analyzes how economic policy uncertainty affects quality of exports based on both the economic policy uncertainty index of 11 destination countries,including the United States,and customs statistics on products made by enterprises,useing data from 2000 to 2013.The results show that increases in economic policy uncertainty lead to improvements in the quality of products exported by China.This article further examines how uncertainty regarding a destination country's economic policy affects the quality of products exported by Chinese enterprises under trade models,types of firms,and the different categories of products. The results show that an increase in uncertainty related to a destination country's economic policy will increase the quality of products exported,particularly those for processing trade companies,trading enterprises,companies that produce intermediates and consumer goods.The impact,however,on the quality of goods exported by companies that produce differentiated products is not significant.Economic policy uncertainty will reduce the number of single products exported by enterprises.