新经济地理视角下粤港澳市场一体化影响因素研究

The Influencing Factors of the Market Integration of Guangdong,Hong Kong and Macao under the New Economic Geography Perspective

文章在新经济地理的3D框架下,利用粤港澳地区2001~2015年的面板数据分析了粤港澳地区密度、距离和整合的历史与现状,并在此基础上实证研究了各经济地理要素对粤港澳市场一体化的影响作用。结果发现:自2001年以来,粤港澳地区的密度和经济整合因素呈现上升的趋势,距离因素则呈现出波动性下降的趋势;粤港澳大湾区的市场一体化程度越来越高,各城市区域之间市场趋于整合而非分割;就粤港澳整体而言,经济密度、交通、通信基础设施、市场化、对外开放水平和政府规划支出的增加都促进了其市场一体化,人口密度的增加却没有促进其市场一体化;经济地理因素对粤港澳三大城市圈市场一体化的影响表现出明显的空间个体异质性。

Under the 3 D framework of economic geography,using the panel data from 2001 to 2015,we analyzed the history and status quo of the density,distance,and integration of Guangdong,Hong Kong,and Macao. On this basis,we empirically studied the impact of economic and geographic factors of the above markets integration. The results show that since 2001,the factors of density and economic integration in the area have shown an upward trend,the distance factor has shown a downward trend in volatility,and the market integration degree in the Greater Bay Area has become higher and higher. In terms of Guangdong,Hong Kong and Macao as a whole,the increase in economic density,transportation,communications infrastructure,marketization,opening level,and increased government spending have all promoted market integration,except for population density. For the three major metropolitan areas of Guangdong,Hong Kong and Macao,the influence of various economic and geographic factors on the market integration of their urban agglomerations showed obvious spatial heterogeneity.